Valuation · June 3, 2026 · Steven Owen

How much is my development land worth in Austin?

Development land in Austin is worth what its highest and best use can support after entitlement — not what comparable raw acreage recently sold for. Inside Austin city limits, developable land commonly runs from about $300,000 to over $1,000,000 per acre, reaching $1.5M–$2M per acre in premium areas. Within ~30 miles of downtown, development-ready tracts trade roughly $100,000–$500,000 per acre; rural Hill Country acreage is far lower (the Austin–Waco–Hill Country regional median was about $7,911/acre in Q4 2025, per TRERC). The only way to price your tract accurately is a residual land analysis.

Why per-acre comps don't tell you what your land is worth

Most owners start by asking what the parcel down the road sold for per acre. It's a reasonable instinct and a misleading one. Two adjacent tracts of identical size can be worth multiples of each other depending on what can actually be built — and built profitably — on each. Raw comps capture the dirt; they miss the entitlement, the utilities, and the use. Developers don't buy acreage. They buy the finished project the acreage makes possible.

How developers actually price land: the residual method

The number a developer will pay is set by working backward from the finished project. It's called residual land value, and it runs in four moves:

  1. Establish highest and best use. What does the zoning, density, and market support here — multifamily, retail, industrial, mixed-use — and at what scale?
  2. Estimate the finished value of that project at completion (e.g., the stabilized value of the apartments, the sale value of the pads).
  3. Subtract the cost to build it — hard construction, soft costs (design, fees, financing, carry), and the developer's required profit margin for the risk.
  4. What's left is the supportable land price. That residual — not the comp down the street — is what a rational buyer pays.

This is why a shovel-ready, entitled site commands far more per acre than an identical raw tract: the buyer is paying for time and certainty they no longer have to create.

Austin development-land ranges in 2026

Within those caveats, here's the directional landscape agents are seeing across the Austin MSA in 2026. Treat these as orientation, not an appraisal:

Directional Austin development-land pricing, 2026 (varies widely by entitlement)
LocationTypical $/acreWhat drives it
Inside Austin city limits$300K – $1M+Zoning, density, utilities, demand
Premium submarkets (e.g., Westlake)$1.5M – $2M+Scarcity and finished-product value
Within ~30 mi of downtown (corridors)$100K – $500KEntitlement path, frontage, growth
Austin–Waco–Hill Country region (rural)~$7,911/acre median (Q4 2025)Ag use, access, water — TRERC benchmark

The spread between rural acreage and entitled urban land is enormous, and it is almost entirely about what can be built. National context underlines the scarcity: land prices are up roughly 77% since the pandemic and inventory never recovered (Realtor.com, 2026).

The five things that move your number most

How SCORE prices it

Our approach pairs a residual land model with a highest-and-best-use read on entitlement and utilities, then tests it against a 1,700+ developer and investor network to see what buyers will actually pay. Steven Owen brings an SMU engineering and NYU Stern finance background to the underwriting — answer-first and numbers-forward — and the firm has closed land and commercial deals across the corridor, from a ~200-acre Leander tract to US-290 frontage sites. The goal is a price that's defensible to a developer's own pro forma, because that's the number that closes.

Want the real number for your tract?

Get a free, no-obligation Agent Opinion of Value — a site-specific residual analysis, not a per-acre guess.

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Figures are directional and dated; they move with interest rates, entitlement risk, and submarket demand. This is general information, not investment, tax, or legal advice. Related: Development Land · Austin Market.